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作者:北通戏 来源:原创 发布日期:08-26

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哈尔科夫失利,泽连斯基将责任推给全世界:各个国家都要为此负责_我的网站

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A |     Under construction since 2011, the GERD project is one of the largest public infrastructure projects in Ethiopia, and will be the biggest hydroelectric power plant on the African continent once finished next year.,The third phase of the filling of a massive reservoir, capable of holding up to 74 billion cubic meters of water, was completed this week, with two of the dam’s planned 16 turbines now operational. When construction is finished, the dam will be capable of generating some 6,000 megawatts of power – more than double the average output of a WER-1000 nuclear reactor.,AfricaWATCH Water Pour Over Spillway on Ethiopia’s GERD Hydroelectric Dam After Finishing Third FillingYesterday, 22:33 GMT,In a ceremony inaugurating the project on Friday, Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed stressed that the dam was Ethiopia’s “gift,” and that it was “Ethiopia’s responsibility to use it” together with the other two Nile Basin countries - Egypt and Sudan.,“PM @AbiyAhmedAli reiterated that Ethiopia is working to ensure the benefits of the lower basin countries, saying that our Abbay River [Ethiopia’s term for the Blue Nile, one of the two major tributaries of the Nile] takes what it deserves while passing on what others deserve,” the prime minister’s office tweeted following the ceremony.,PM @AbiyAhmedAli reiterated that Ethiopia is working to ensure the benefits of the lower basin countries, saying that our Abbay River takes what it deserves while passing on what others deserve. He also congratulated all Africans on this milestone. (2/2) pic.twitter.com/Be9WtrHczO— Office of the Prime Minister - Ethiopia (@PMEthiopia) August 12, 2022,Just Deserts,The question of which country “deserves” what has been the subject of considerable consternation and debate between the three nations, as has the dam’s potential environmental impact, with Cairo and Khartoum fearing the filling of the 145 meter tall, 1.8 km long dam could threaten the region with droughts and floods. Last month, Egyptian Foreign Minister Sameh Shoukry warned that Cairo would defend its interests using “all means available” at its disposal, and called on the United Nations Security Council to negotiate a legally binding agreement between Egypt, Ethiopia and Sudan on regulating the dam’s operation. Egyptian President Abdel-Fattah El-Sisi earlier called the GERD dispute a “red line” security issue.,Ethiopian Ambassador to Russia Alemayehu Tegenu dismissed these concerns, telling Sputnik last month that Egypt and Sudan were trying to “internationalize and politicize the dam to solve their internal affairs” and assuring that the dam “has no significant harm” for the downstream nations.,WorldEgypt, Sudan Politicising Renaissance Dam Construction, Ethiopian Diplomat Says27 July 2021, 08:23 GMT,Nile River: Giver of Life,Stretching some 6,695 km and covering over 3.3 million square km, the Nile is the longest river in the world, and has played a significant role in regional civilizational development going back to the Ancient Egyptians owing to the rich soil perfect for agriculture created by its annual flooding, and its use as a tool for regional river navigation. Ethiopia’s Blue Nile tributary accounts for a whopping 85 percent of the Nile’s total waters.,Egypt, which receives almost no rainfall, relies on the Nile for more than 90 percent of its freshwater, with eastern Sudan similarly dependent on the river for its economic wellbeing and water and food security.,Legacy of Colonial Meddling,Part of the difficulty of regulating the dispute over the Nile is the lack of a regional agreement regulating the waters’ flow. Addis Ababa is not a party to the 1959 bilateral treaty between Egypt and Sudan dividing the Nile’s waters.,A separate 1929 Nile Waters Treaty between Britain and its then-puppet state of Egypt, plus the territories of what are now Uganda, Kenya, Tanzania, and Sudan provided Cairo the right to veto infrastructure projects up the Nile if they threatened to impact the country’s interests. However, that treaty similarly didn’t apply to Ethiopia, which managed to survive as the only independent nation in Africa after the European imperialist scramble for the continent in the 19th century, and which was never consulted on the agreement’s terms.,Russia’s Position,As a strategic partner of both Ethiopia and Egypt, Russia has sought to assure the dam dispute’s peaceful and mutually amenable resolution, with Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov indicating in 2021 that Moscow would be ready to provide technical assistance for any negotiations on the matter. Russia also supports the use of the African Union platform to resolve the crisis.,Also last year, Russian Ambassador to the UN Vassily Nebenzia called on the three countries to stick to the terms of the 2015 Declaration of Principles on the GERD, which urged consensus in reaching an agreement on guidelines for the dam’s filling and operation, and committing Ethiopia to avoid steps which could harm its downstream neighbors. “At the same time, we note legitimate concerns of Egypt and Sudan over the possible negative impact that unconstrained functioning of the dam may produce on the populations of those countries in drought prone years,” he said.,The 2015 agreement and efforts at the African Union and UN levels mean that a baseline for a breakthrough and compromise exists. However, amid regional and global concerns about food and water security, and the threats posed by increasingly prevalent climate disasters and extreme weather events, the GERD dispute comes during a period of heightened regional and global tensions.,In 2021, Africa and Middle East intelligence analysis group Pangea-Risk warned that an all-out water war between Ethiopia, Egypt, Sudan, or their proxies was becoming increasingly probable in the face of dwindling options for a mediated solution.。    

据悉,最近一周俄军在哈尔科夫地区攻势非常顺利,截至17日俄国防部宣称已经“拿下200多公里土地”,其中包括十几个定居点。原本美国通过援乌法案之后,西方媒体对俄乌战场保持“乐观”,法新社甚至开始讨论乌克兰何时能反攻的问题,但一切情况骤然转变还是让西方意料不及。

B | 乌克兰总司令西尔斯基表示前线局势艰难,他们已经决定要从南部战场调来预备队,且有信心可以阻挡俄方的攻势。

C |

17日,俄罗斯总统普京在发布会上回应称,俄军正在哈尔科夫地区发动攻势,目标是为了建立一个“安全区”,以保护俄边境地区免受乌军袭击。之前乌克兰人曾多次从哈尔科夫越境进入俄罗斯,还发起对俄偷袭行动,所以这次俄罗斯准备打出一个“隔离地带”来保护自己的安全。但有乌克兰消息人士对此并不信任,认为俄罗斯到底打到哪里是根据“实际情况”决定的;如果乌克兰人抵抗不及时,俄罗斯或许会吞并整个哈尔科夫地区。
同日,乌克兰总统泽连斯基接受媒体采访,对他们现在遭遇的困境表示不满。记者询问是否认为哈尔科夫州的失利是“美国人的问题”,他则回答:“这是全世界的错误,全世界给了普京占领我们的土地的机会,各国现在应该帮助乌克兰”。

D | 采访者认为泽连斯基非常不满于之前各国没有给他们足够的援助,因为3月份他同样将阿夫杰耶夫卡的战败归咎于“各国没有给支持”,现在来看哈尔科夫同样如此,都是因为少了援助才导致的结果。

E |

分析人士表示,乌克兰在哈尔科夫地区失利这件事是他们在拿到美国新一批军援之后才发生的,且乌克兰在5月上旬就获得了美国支持的新武器,泽连斯基将其归咎为“没有得到全世界援助”说不通。其次是因为这次失误明显是乌军自身的部署问题,他们将大部分兵力都投放在南部战场,丝毫没有防范北部俄军的袭击,结果被打了个措手不及;再者而言,动辄拉上“全世界”来承担责任的行为太过夸张,乌克兰现在更应该将精力放在和平问题上,而不是坚持我行我素的风格。
值得一提的还有,美媒曾在上周披露乌军在哈尔科夫或涉嫌贪污军援,一名官员表示他们原本应该构筑的防线“不见了”,俄罗斯人大摇大摆地从俄乌边界进来,全程没有看到乌克兰的防御体系。

F | 所以一些人怀疑军方对于防线上有偷工减料,甚至是贪污了很多的军事援助才导致现在的境地。对此有评论称:“现在来看最着急的应该是美国,如果北约援助的乌克兰如此快地崩溃,世界各国对美国军事能力的信任就会和对瑞士中立的信任一样崩塌,美国无论做什么事付出的实际成本将会更高,所以他们最后可能真的会亲自下场。

G | ”

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Published on:13:19:01


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